Estimated impact of AUKUS on numbers of operational SSNs/SSGNs in the Western Pacific and Indian Ocean in a crisis
| 2024 | 2028 | 2035 | 2050 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of US SSNs/SSGNs operational in Western Pacific without AUKUS | 8 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| Planned US/UK SSNs operational in rotational forces in west and east deployable within 5 days | 0 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 5-6 |
| RAN SSNs expected to be operational in Western Pacific and Indian Ocean within 5 days | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| Expected additional US/UK SSNs that could surge into Western Pacific and Indian Ocean within 14 days | 20 | 16 | 16 | 18 |
| Expected total allied SSN/SSGN force operational in Western Pacific after 14 days | 28 | 28-29 | 28-29 | 37-38 |
| % rise in allied operational SSNs in Western Pacific within 14 days as a consequence of the addition of RAN SSNs | 0% | 0% | 8% | 16-19% |
| % rise in allied operational SSNs in Western Pacific within 14 days as a consequence of AUKUS | 0% | 17-21% | 25% | 41-46% |