Figure 4: Pacific recovery – baseline vs stimulus
Real GDP per capita, indexed (2019 = 100)
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
Index level
2015
2020
2025
2030
With recovery package
2015.0
2016.0
2017.0
2018.0
2019.0
2020.0
2021.0
2022.0
2023.0
2024.0
2025.0
2026.0
2027.0
2028.0
2029.0
2030.0
92.0
92.5
94.2
95.5
96.5
97.4
98.6
99.8
101.0
102.3
103.6
96.3
98.2
100.0
98.4
100.0
100.8
101.4
102.5
103.8
105.2
106.6
107.9
109.2
110.6
112.0
113.4
100.0
94.8
97.3
100.0
102.8
106.0
108.6
Pre-COVID trajectory
Post-COVID baseline